Purpose: This paper investigates calendar anomalies in
commodity futures returns empirically in the context of developing economies
such as India.
Design/methodology/approach: Data from 2004
to 2024 was acquired from MCX and NCDEX. Employing a dummy variable OLS
regression model, the study examines the volatility of daily returns for the
following commodities: energy (crude oil), base metals (aluminium, copper),
bullion (gold, silver), and agriculture (guar seed).
Findings: The month of the year effect, day of the week
effect, Diwali effect and autumn effect are evaluated, and the results show
that there is evidence of significant anomalies in returns of
several commodity futures markets in India.
Practical Implications: Calendar anomalies can be
used by market participants to build trading strategies, control risk, and make
informed decisions that improve the efficiency of the commodity market. Market
players can use this information to optimize resource allocation, promote
inclusive market participation, and promote sustainable growth in the commodity
futures market.
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