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International Journal of
Finance and Commerce
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VOL. 8, ISSUE 1 (2026)
Calendar anomalies in the returns of the commodity futures market: Empirical Evidence from India
Authors
Dr. Meera Bamba, Dr. Mamta Aggarwal, Monika Verma
Abstract

Purpose: This paper investigates calendar anomalies in commodity futures returns empirically in the context of developing economies such as India.

Design/methodology/approach: Data from 2004 to 2024 was acquired from MCX and NCDEX. Employing a dummy variable OLS regression model, the study examines the volatility of daily returns for the following commodities: energy (crude oil), base metals (aluminium, copper), bullion (gold, silver), and agriculture (guar seed).

Findings: The month of the year effect, day of the week effect, Diwali effect and autumn effect are evaluated, and the results show that there is evidence of significant anomalies in returns of several commodity futures markets in India.

Practical Implications: Calendar anomalies can be used by market participants to build trading strategies, control risk, and make informed decisions that improve the efficiency of the commodity market. Market players can use this information to optimize resource allocation, promote inclusive market participation, and promote sustainable growth in the commodity futures market.

Originality/Value: Studies on calendar anomalies in global commodities markets have been conducted in great detail; however, few studies have thoroughly investigated the calendar anomalies in returns of commodity futures in emerging economies, such as India, using different sectors of the commodity in a detailed manner. By examining the presence of these anomalies in the Indian context, this study provides significant insights into the unique characteristics and dynamics of the Indian commodity futures market. 
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Pages:46-52
How to cite this article:
Dr. Meera Bamba, Dr. Mamta Aggarwal, Monika Verma "Calendar anomalies in the returns of the commodity futures market: Empirical Evidence from India". International Journal of Finance and Commerce, Vol 8, Issue 1, 2026, Pages 46-52
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